WASHINGTON, Mar 5 (IPS) - Advances in renewable and energy- efficient
technology combined with the willingness of governments to experiment
with new economic approaches to energy markets, can significantly
cut greenhouse emissions at little cost, according to a new analysis
released Monday by an international panel of hundreds of scientists.
The 800-page report, released in Accra, Ghana during an international
meeting on how to mitigate global warming, says that efforts to
stem heat- trapping greenhouse gas emissions caused by the burning
of oil, gas and coal can result in additional benefits including
less air pollution, forest conservation and energy security. The
report is the third in a series of three large documents by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and represents almost
three years of work by about 400 governmental and non-government
experts. While the report stresses that there is no single path
to reducing emissions, the panel says that if currently available
technological innovations in renewable energy and energy efficiency
are promoted by governments, carbon dioxide emissions could be
significantly reduced within the next 100 years. Significant technological
advances in renewable energy, such as wind turbines and fuel efficient
hybrid engine cars, have progressed faster than anticipated, it
says. In various mitigation scenarios studied by the panel, no
single technology option provides all of the emissions reductions
needed. A combination of market incentives and technologies is
the most effective, says the summary.
According to another report released in Accra last week by the
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), geothermal, small-scale
hydro-power, solar, biomass, and wind technologies have grown
proportionally faster than any other electricity supply technology.
The wind energy industry, for example, has grown in just two decades
from a producer of small machines to a modern, multi-billion dollar
industry supplying bulk, grid-connected power, says Klaus Toepfer,
executive director of UNEP. Since the 1990s the cost of wind generated
electricity has dropped seven-fold, which makes wind power competitive
with most fossil fuel technologies, he says. ''It is increasingly
true,'' says Toepfer, ''that there are no technical, financial
or economic reasons why the nations of the world cannot enjoy
the benefits of a high level of energy services and a better environment.
''It is simply a question of making the right choices,'' he says.
One of the right choices, according to the report by the scientific
panel, is to remove government subsidies for fossil fuels and
instead devote them to renewable energy and energy efficiency.
The report also says the use of various market mechanisms, such
as emission trading permits, could reduce the net economic cost
of meeting emissions reduction targets under the Kyoto Protocol.
The international treaty, named after the Japanese city where
it was drawn up in 1997, requires industrialised nations to cut
their greenhouse gas emissions by 2012 to five percent below 1990
levels. While more than 100 countries have signed the agreement,
not one industrialised nation has ratified the treaty. The report
says the most effective way a country could meet its treaty obligations
would be to develop several policy instruments, including tradable
or non-tradable emission permits, energy mix requirements, energy
efficiency standards, support for research and development, and
the redirection of energy subsidies. ''Market-based instruments
may be cost effective in many cases, especially where capacity
to administer them is developed,'' says the report summary. The
report also says the transfer of technologies between countries
and regions will ''widen the choice of options at the regional
level and economies of scale and learning will lower the costs
of their adoption''. Preserving forests, which store carbon dioxide,
is another way governments can mitigate global warming, says the
report.
Promoting agricultural practices that emit less carbon from the
soil, such as no-till farming, is also a method policy makers
can utilise to foster reductions in greenhouse gases, it says.
The report says some government proposals to implement a carbon
tax can have negative income effects on low-income groups ''unless
the tax revenues are used directly or indirectly to compensate
such effect''. Some mitigation actions may yield extensive benefits
in areas outside of climate change, says the panel's report. ''For
example, they may reduce health problems; increase employment;
reduce negative environmental impacts (like air pollution); protect
and enhance forests, soils and watersheds; reduce those subsidies
and taxes which enhance greenhouse gas emissions; and induce technological
change ... contributing to wide goals of sustainable development,''
says the summary. The first report by the scientific panel, issued
in January, concluded that carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping
greenhouse gases is causing the gradual rise of the Earth's air
surface temperature. The panel predicted that the average surface
air temperature of the planet will rise 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius
by the year 2100 relative to 1990. Average sea level, worldwide
is projected by models to rise 0.09 to 0.88 metres by 2100. The
panel's second report warned that global warming is already seriously
impacting ecosystems worldwide and will further widen the gap
between industrialised nations and poor developing countries which
are particularly vulnerable to extreme weather events. Observational
evidence indicates, said the panel, that regional changes in climate,
particularly increases in temperature, are currently causing glaciers
to shrink, permafrost to thaw and wildlife behaviour to change.
