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                  Posted on 31-502004 
                Past 
                  The Future 
                  by Alan Marston, 30 May 2004 
                   
                  Of all the products of human intelligence, predictions are the 
                  most unworthy. 
                   
                  Science, like most belief systems through which humanity has 
                  framed its 
                  universe, offers knowledge to its disciples and knowledge is 
                  nothing but 
                  prediction. Scientists have lots of credibility these days, 
                  yet a cursory 
                  glance at history will tell you that credibility is no firm 
                  basis for 
                  judgements as to truth value. A well known and credible scientist 
                  is at it 
                  again, predicting and suggesting what would be `good for the 
                  world'. I 
                  question his predictions, nevertheless I believe his good intentions 
                  and 
                  his intuitive grasp of the coming of a day of reckoning with 
                  the long 
                  shadow of the `Western way of life'. 
                   
                  Twenty-Five years ago, James Lovelock conceived the most radical 
                  way of 
                  looking at life on Earth since Darwin, and became a hero to 
                  the emerging 
                  environmental movement. Now, because he believes nuclear power 
                  is the only 
                  answer to the growing threat of climate change, some Greens 
                  see him as the 
                  enemy. But then, Greens is a term referring to people who, like 
                  all 
                  politicians through history, believe they can see the future, 
                  that it is 
                  bleak and that they have an answer which will shine light over 
                  a darkened 
                  social and natural landscape. 
                   
                  Personally I identify with the Green view of the future, bleak 
                  indeed, but 
                  I do not believe that Mr Lovelock nor any `Green' nor any liberal 
                  or right 
                  winger nor science and its followers will reverse the spread 
                  of a 
                  money-first economy/philosophy and its attendent ever-growing 
                  appetite for 
                  energy and all other products of the universe. I believe that 
                  until some 
                  of the things the `global economy' needs, first of all energy, 
                  are no 
                  longer available people will not change. 
                   
                  Catastrophe theory? Indeed. I have history on my side, the scientists 
                  and 
                  Greens have the future on their side. Your call. 
                 
                 
                  
                  
                   
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